NFL Week 9 predictions, best bets: Picks against the spread for every game

Invite to Season 33, Episode 9 of NFL badgers The Post’s NFL Bettor’s Guide channel. We’ll call this one “So Even, It’s Odd.”

121 video games and 24 Best Bets, your brave forecaster is dead even– 59-59-3 general and 12-12.

It’s similar to Seinfeld, Season 5, Episode 22: “The Opposite.” That’s the one where rather of his regular tuna on toast, George orders chicken salad on rye (untoasted), with a side of potato salad and a cup of tea and end up getting a task with the Yankees. Previously on, Jerry finds, after recovering cost in a poker video game, that whatever in his life levels– one buddy is up, one is down … Elaine tosses his $20 costs out the window, he right away discovers another one in his pocket.

That’s what this NFL season’s resembled, with some sure wins becoming losses in the eleventh hour and a comparable assisting of late luck. Costs Parcells when stated, “You are what your record states you are,” to which I respond: “Good for the Tuna.”

Anyhow, onward we enter our mission to get above water level.

New York City Giants (-3.5) over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

This spread may look little thinking about the predicament of the Eagles, it’s in fact rather a big relocation for the Giants. The last time we saw them, they were 10.5-point underdogs at Houston versus a group that was 2-4 at the time. The oddsmakers plainly were not swayed by the Giants’ last-play wins over the Titans and Cardinals, nor their wonder tie versus the Commanders. This is just the 3rd time Big Blue has actually been preferred, the biggest number yet, and the very first time on the roadway.

Still, there are 2 elements pressing a Giants play here. One is the state of the Eagles. They have actually lost 6 in a row, 4 of those by a minimum of 11 points. Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith are both hurt and missed out on Wednesday’s practice. They’re beginning Joe Milton at quarterback (though he may be an upgrade from what we’ve seen from Tanner McKee).

The other angle is that the Giants can be found in off a bye. In Baltimore, John Harbaugh was 15-3 directly and 10-8 ATS in his post-bye video games. This season, groups are 26-10-1 with a minimum of a three-day rest benefit over their challengers (created by byes and Thursday video games).

Harbaugh’s training has actually been the Giants’ superpower this season. I anticipate we’ll see some brand-new wrinkles and enhancement in locations where they’ve been doing not have after the break, and the Eagles can’t get to their bye next week quick enough.

New York City Jets (+9.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

In their previous 3 video games, the Chiefs are balancing 16.3 ppg., so it appears kinda dicey to lay a double-digit spread when their offense isn’t clicking. Aaron Glenn’s defense has actually been a catastrophe, so possibly this is the day Patrick Mahomes hangs 40, however the Jets can score too. Geno Smith leads Mahomes in passing lawns and passer score, and they’re even with 12 goal passes. Even without Garrett Wilson, the Jets have 3 others who have actually published 100-yard getting video games in Kenyon Sadiq, Omar Cooper Jr. (two times), and Adonai Mitchell.

Falcons (+3) over Bengals

The early morning video game from Madrid pits 2 groups that fret me after recently’s efficiencies. The Bengals quit 36 indicate a Titans group that had actually been balancing 14.5. The Falcons lost 16-0 to the Buccaneers, who didn’t finish a single pass, although that video game was played through some scriptural rain. Difficult call, however the lean is to Atlanta, which beat the 49ers simply 2 weeks earlier and is typically a live bet as an underdog.

CAROLINA PANTHERS (+2.5) over Denver Broncos

The Panthers are among the groups with the rest benefit, having actually played last Thursday, while Denver makes the long run east for an early start. Carolina has a brand-new protective organizer, and this might offer the generally slow-starting Broncos additional issues. Chuba Hubbard and Tetairoa McMillan might pull a home surprise here.

Detroit Lions( -7)over MIAMI DOLPHINS

Treading a bit gently here since the Dolphins have actually covered 3 of their previous 4, and the failure was by a half-point to the spread. Still, this is a group that’s topped the 20-point mark simply two times all season. The Lions were held to 20 and 19 by the Packers and Vikings, respectively, in 2 physical wins, however the last time they dealt with a doormat, they scored 45 at Arizona.

BRAND-NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3)over Cleveland Browns

I’m not frightened by Shedeur Sanders beginning for the Browns in location of Deshaun Watson. That may be an enhancement for Todd Monken. This is more of a pro-Saints choice. They’re in that extra-rest pattern, and in their time off they are returning LT Kelvin Banks and potentially WR Jordyn Tyson. Watch on the game-time scratches.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+5.5) over Dallas Cowboys

Was the Colts’ 42-7 damage by the Jaguars an indication of them quiting before tanking? I’m not so sure. The Cowboys can be found in with a defense that was a criminal offense versus humankind in the 2nd half vs. Arizona, and Caleb Downs is anticipated to be out. Searching For Shane Steichen to feed Jonathan Taylor and Josh Downs to increase their trade worth.

Betting on the NFL?

• Read our specialist guide on how to bank on the NFL
• Take a look at the very best NFL wagering websites
• Get the BetMGM Bonus Code

Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) over WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

This spread dipped 1.5 points in the previous couple of days, and now it’s low enough where I wish to put trust in Sean McVay, Matthew Stafford and the Rams. They’re 4-4, and if they’re going to prevent being odds-on enormous busts, they need to get on a severe roll today.

Houston Texans (-5.5) over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

Jim Harbaugh’s mess is 0-7 both directly and ATS. Are the Chargers bound to a minimum of cover a spread? That’s what I was wishing for recently. Now I simply see a Swiss cheese offending line attempting to keep Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter off shell-shocked Justin Herbert.

Green Bay Packers (+3) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

The Patriots had early marquee wins versus the Steelers and Bills, however the previous 3 triumphes have actually come versus the Raiders, Jets and Dolphins, and they went 1-2 ATS versus them. The Packers are excellent enough for this infect contribute in the wagering result.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-8.5)over Arizona Cardinals

This line dropped from -11 on the news that Drew Lock will change a hurt Sam Darnold. I’m here to get the line worth on Lock, who has actually currently beaten the Cardinals (31-7) and Patriots and is finishing 72.9 percent of his passes with 4 TDs and absolutely no INTs. It’s likewise desperation time for the 4-4 Seahawks.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-10) over Las Vegas Raiders

The Niners are coming off the bye after Kyle Shanahan rested on his sofa and enjoyed Geno Smith sculpt up the Raiders defense to the tune of 422 overall backyards. The Raiders have some hazardous offending gamers, however this establishes like their 45-17 loss in New England a month back.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6) over CHICAGO BEARS

The Bears are on a brief week after a rousing roadway win Monday night, making this a traditional disappointment area. The Bucs can be found in with a meat-grinder running video game including Bucky Irving and a defense that has actually not quit 20 points in guideline time given that Week 3. Get ready for a war.

Monday

Buffalo Bills(-3.5) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS

The hook concerns me here, however I’m great with the match of Josh Allen vs. Brian Flores. In 6 conferences, Allen is 6-0 and has actually finished 64.4 percent of his passes with 16 TDs and 2 INTs vs. Flores’ defenses. He likewise has actually hurried for 200 lawns and 2 TDs.

Best choices: Seahawks, Colts, Buccaneers.

Lock of the week: Seahawks (Locks 3-5 in 2026).

Recently: 8-6 in general, 2-1 Best Bets.

Thursday: Jaguars (W).

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dave Blezow’s among the longest tenured NFL handicappers at the Post with choices going back to 1994. He won the Post’s NFL wagering standings in 2021 and the Playoffs most just recently in 2023.